Evidence:
At time t, Ayesha comes to hold ‘Sta piovendo’ true because it’s raining.
Holding true is an attitude Ayesha has to a sentence.
To hold a sentence true is to have a belief.
So the evidence we are starting with is really evidence about beliefs.
But, importantly, can know that Ayesha holds a sentence true
without knowing what the sentence means and so without knowing
what Ayesha believes.
So evidence of this kind is evidence that is in principle available to a radical
interpreter at the start.
The ‘p’ picks out a proposition; it may be that Ayesha holds this
sentence true because it is raining, because her eyes are open,
and because there are splashes in the puddle on the roof outside her window.
Note that we are interested not in which sentences Ayesha holds true
but in what causes here to change her beliefs---what causes her to
come to hold a sentence true.
At any particular time there will be many
propositions p such that Ayesha comes to hold S true because p.
As already mentioned, Ayesha comes to hold the sentence ‘It is raining’
true because it is raining, because she has her eyes open
and because there are splashes in the puddle on the roof outside her window.
There is, then, no hope of inferring what Ayesha believes
from a single change in Ayesha’s holding a sentence true.
But we can consider many different events of Ayesha coming to hold a sentence true
at different times.
Consider, for instance, that on one occasion Ayesha comes to hold the sentence ‘It is raining’
true because she has her eyes open.
On another occasion, she comes to hold this sentence true while cycling through
an intense storm; on this occasion, the fact that she has her eyes open plays no role
in her coming to hold the sentence ‘It is raining’ true.
Generalisation:
Ayesha comes to hold ‘Sta piovendo’ true because it’s raining.
The evidence confirms or falsifies a generalisation of the form,
Ayesha comes to hold S true because p.
The hope is this: if we have enough evidence, we will find that
the only generalisation supported by all the evidence is this one:
Ayesha comes to hold the sentence ‘It is raining’ true because it is raining.
This is unrealistic, of course.
However Davidson’s theory doesn’t strictly require this because sentences
are things with structure. They contain elements, the words, which reoccur
in different sentences.
Davidson exploits this in making his theory of radical interpretation
much more sophisticated than the simplified version I am describing,
and avoiding the implausible notion that we would observe Ayesha coming to hold
each sentence true millions of times.
But we can ignore the complication as it won’t be central to our interests in
social cognition (it would be more relevant for philosophy of language).
So, idealising and simplifying, we have lots of evidence which,
for each of many sentences like ‘It’s raining’, supports a unique
generalisation about why Ayesha comes to hold that sentence true.
For example, the only generalisation supported by all the evidence
for the sentence ‘It’s raining’ is the one that says Ayesha
holds this sentence true because it’s raining.
Assumption:
Ayesha’s beliefs are true
We already saw that this assumption is required by Dennett’s Intentional Strategy.
The assumption allows us to draw a conclusion about meaning:
Conclusion:
‘Sta piovendo’ is true if and only if it’s raining.
For our purposes you could replace this by ‘S means that p’, if you
believed in meanings.
(There are good reasons for appealing to truth conditions but they aren’t
central on this course.)
... so when Ayesha comes to hold ‘Sta piovendo’ true, she comes to believe that it’s raining.